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Facing a failure to reload after a catastrophe

15 June 2009

The capital markets cannot be relied on to recapitalise firms as a result of the financial crisis. The upshot is that a big hurricane loss this year could have dire consequences for the industry.

Read more: [john charman] [marty becker] [scott carmilani]

While it is never a good time for a catastrophe to hit, this year would be the one of the worst possible times. A big question hangs over this year’s hurricane season, which started June 1. Would insurers and reinsurers be able to recapitalise following a big event?

“That’s the million dollar question,” said John Charman, president and chief executive officer of Bermudian insurer and reinsurer Axis Capital, at a Standard & Poor’s insurance conference in June. “I think the industry is in a transitional year and I actually believe it’s quite vulnerable.”

He added: “We are at the lowest point in a pretty aggressive pricing cycle for the industry. If you couple that with what has taken place on the asset side of our balance sheets through the financial turmoil of the last 12 months then you can see the industry is sitting there on some...


Poll

How big would insured catastrophe losses this hurricane season have to be to move reinsurance pricing up?

$0-15bn
7%
$15bn-$30bn
12%
$30bn-$50bn
38%
$50bn-$75bn
31%
$75bn-$100bn
7%
>$100bn
5%

Quote

CEOs won’t move prices until they see blood in the street and have the concern that some of it might be theirs.

Tom Bolt, director of underwriting performance at Lloyd’s of London